Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.229172 1.384464 1.554000 1.753178 1.981218 2.234663 2.538387
2026-01-25 0.980661 1.183172 1.421779 1.725030 2.102118 2.558081 3.154939
2026-02-01 0.793573 1.010694 1.282459 1.650413 2.139890 2.774618 3.669742
2026-02-08 0.669696 0.892016 1.184662 1.602610 2.191553 3.002869 4.224338
2026-02-15 0.580838 0.803797 1.110233 1.568587 2.247869 3.235086 4.811148
2026-02-22 0.535551 0.767644 1.099618 1.618059 2.423760 3.655882 5.737217
2026-03-01 0.489830 0.724080 1.071120 1.634253 2.547435 4.009734 6.610812
2026-03-08 0.439614 0.667404 1.015326 1.599130 2.582013 4.221702 7.276806
2026-03-15 0.396178 0.616132 0.961510 1.559062 2.600391 4.404763 7.915806
2026-03-22 0.380484 0.606862 0.972825 1.626845 2.809264 4.943333 9.295966
2026-03-29 0.362782 0.592209 0.973182 1.674802 2.987590 5.449583 10.700592
2026-04-05 0.344556 0.574680 0.966460 1.708559 3.142702 5.931889 12.140689
2026-04-12 0.323881 0.552141 0.950762 1.727927 3.280830 6.417429 13.720191
2026-04-19 0.298436 0.518911 0.912911 1.701531 3.326287 6.724623 14.974572
2026-04-26 0.269508 0.476741 0.854604 1.628576 3.266805 6.801232 15.708840
2026-05-03 0.247081 0.444554 0.811867 1.581698 3.255761 6.981925 16.735952
2026-05-10 0.228618 0.418179 0.777683 1.548263 3.269061 7.219310 17.958736
2026-05-17 0.221149 0.412168 0.782532 1.597062 3.472459 7.934260 20.612506
2026-05-24 0.210769 0.399495 0.772771 1.613039 3.602309 8.492664 22.968280
2026-05-31 0.196305 0.377429 0.741783 1.578432 3.607000 8.736977 24.471237
2026-06-07 0.182681 0.355976 0.710180 1.538943 3.594463 8.934764 25.883257
2026-06-14 0.179571 0.355953 0.723877 1.605751 3.857914 9.917611 30.028105
2026-06-21 0.174883 0.352188 0.729090 1.653015 4.078137 10.822325 34.176826